Severe-Handgun
0xaae201c4ecc99a227b8a109597a2c2dc14ebdbda
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-536.46
Realised
$-99.87
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2879 shares @ 83.8¢·now 73.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.1K
$-292.37
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 86.8¢·now 86.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$863.38
$-4.67
- NO
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
439 shares @ 94.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$421.40
$7.54
- YES
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?
843 shares @ 39.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$214.97
$-121.67
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$163.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 9.8¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$113.50
$15.50
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.50
$10.50
- YES
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?
355 shares @ 28.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$44.37
$-54.98
- NO
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
53 shares @ 59.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$32.56
$1.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?$0.82Jun 9, 16:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?$1.83Jun 9, 15:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.16Jun 9, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?$6.00Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.31Jun 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in June?$131.10Jun 8, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?$367.08Jun 8, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?$1.65Jun 8, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?$22.92Jun 8, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?$1.00Jun 8, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?$2.69Jun 8, 01:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $288 in June?$18.90Jun 7, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June?$3.89Jun 7, 22:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $107.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.