Annual-Sun
0xab00b13ad0e7298d1e95a4a8eeaeb67a9b0db447
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
127
Open notional
$138.09
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 127- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
73 shares @ 79.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$55.24
$-2.18
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
31 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$31.14
$1.14
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$11.76
$1.76
- CINCINNATI REDS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.85
$0.85
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
10 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.19
$0.19
- ATLANTA BRAVES
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$9.54
$-0.46
- MAYWEATHER
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
15 shares @ 67.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$7.91
$-2.09
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
417 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.46
$-8.54
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
2784 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.57
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
557 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals$17.24Jul 24, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.88Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-14?$50.42Jul 14, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMSwiss Open: Federico Cina vs Quentin Halys$18.87Jul 14, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMT20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Serbia vs Estonia$17.54Jul 14, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMSwedish Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrov$16.39Jul 14, 13:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill SD Raiders FC win on 2026-07-14?$20.70Jul 14, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMIasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Dalma Galfi$16.81Jul 14, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMIasi Open: Emiliana Arango vs Tamara Zidansek$15.49Jul 14, 12:05 UTC
- REDEEMRome: Julia Riera vs Darja Semenistaja$18.20Jul 14, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMITF Nottingham: Brooke Black vs Andre Lukosiute$17.24Jul 14, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMCordenons: Max Alcala Gurri vs Giorgio Tabacco$10.03Jul 14, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.42Jul 14, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SD Raiders FC win on 2026-07-14?$10.26Jul 14, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Dalma Galfi$10.20Jul 14, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYODI Series England vs India: England vs India$10.23Jul 14, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwiss Open: Federico Cina vs Quentin Halys$10.23Jul 14, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwedish Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrov$10.19Jul 14, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier B: Serbia vs Estonia$10.21Jul 14, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Nottingham: Brooke Black vs Andre Lukosiute$10.21Jul 14, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $13.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 06:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.