0xab7f2a5b0ba85bc882c7b7f651a106d7f80cb8c3
0xab7f2a5b0ba85bc882c7b7f651a106d7f80cb8c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$14.92
Total PnL
$-4.50
Realised
$-0.53
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.32
$3.66
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
15 shares @ 48.3¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.38
$-0.87
- YES
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.10
$-0.35
- YES
Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?
5 shares @ 18.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.12
$-0.78
- YES
Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?
252 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-4.42
- YES
Will Breece Hall be traded?
72 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?$0.65Mar 21, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?$0.70Mar 20, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$1.45Mar 20, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$0.90Mar 20, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$2.40Mar 20, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$2.40Mar 20, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in New York City be between $575,000 and $580,000 on April 1?$0.22Mar 20, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$0.52Mar 20, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?$0.30Mar 20, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$5.53Mar 20, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?$0.15Mar 20, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?$0.15Mar 20, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?$0.90Mar 20, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$2.45Mar 20, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$1.94Mar 20, 11:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1250.00 at the end of December 2026?$0.07Mar 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$1.29Mar 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$4.80Mar 20, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in New York City be between $575,000 and $580,000 on April 1?$0.06Mar 20, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?$0.80Mar 20, 10:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 10:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.