Muffled-Bulb
0xab8ce72565d171a73b19aa57871408e9f3f3256e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
567 shares @ 89.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$524.09
$19.29
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
513 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$510.66
$10.66
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
300 shares @ 82.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$297.15
$51.15
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$161.97
$61.97
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
186 shares @ 80.7¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$147.80
$-2.20
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
130 shares @ 76.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$129.00
$29.00
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
123 shares @ 81.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$122.58
$22.58
- NO
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
112 shares @ 89.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$108.55
$8.55
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$108.21
$8.21
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
110 shares @ 90.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$102.85
$3.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$119.33Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$232.00Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$88.66Jun 9, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$316.14Jun 9, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?$100.41Jun 3, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$97.94Jun 3, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 15?$100.00Jun 3, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$100.00Jun 3, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$100.00Jun 3, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$100.65Jun 3, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$100.00Jun 3, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$110.00Jun 1, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?$110.00Jun 1, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved by May 31?$312.50Jun 1, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$168.51Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$120.00Jun 1, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$108.63May 31, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$172.41May 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$50.00May 26, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$101.15May 26, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $85.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 08:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.