Firm-Bus
0xab95dab7d1c1f6f982dd13e84193ceb4885bc8cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$5.71
Total PnL
$-7.9K
Realised
$-208.84
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- NO
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
36 shares @ 28.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.71
$-4.29
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
92092 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
21227 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-235.39
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?
7996 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-603.35
- CUBS
Cubs vs. Brewers
5250 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-173.30
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?
4963 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-131.83
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of November?
3567 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-111.91
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on October 17 2025?
3149 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-135.26
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: July
3057 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-52.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?$80.00Feb 14, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMSeahawks vs. Patriots$80.00Feb 14, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month?$1.83Feb 14, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$68.00Feb 9, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLSeahawks vs. Patriots$69.60Feb 9, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel not announce ceasefire in October?$0.00Feb 9, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$67.20Feb 9, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBig Game: Coin Toss$63.61Feb 8, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: Coin Toss$11.84Feb 8, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: Coin Toss$4.89Feb 8, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: Coin Toss$4.90Feb 8, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: Coin Toss$6.65Feb 8, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBig Game: Coin Toss$13.75Feb 8, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?$3.70Feb 8, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?$2.50Feb 8, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?$20.00Feb 8, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?$19.25Feb 8, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?$16.20Feb 8, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?$32.05Feb 8, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?$47.00Feb 8, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $26.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 02:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".