False-Lifetime
0xabd6c16c939ed93976f00706785714aea5f97807
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$689.64
Realised
$26.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
1670 shares @ 48.0¢·now 77.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$497.40
- YES
Will LaMonica McIver be the Democratic nominee for NJ-10?
1127 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.1K
$47.84
- YES
Blue wave in 2026?
533 shares @ 50.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$396.98
$130.55
- NO
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?
391 shares @ 89.1¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$367.12
$19.24
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
400 shares @ 76.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$346.00
$42.00
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
400 shares @ 75.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$346.00
$46.00
- NO
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
400 shares @ 48.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$338.00
$146.00
- YES
Will Ilhan Omar be the Democratic Nominee for MN-05?
339 shares @ 76.8¢·now 96.6¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$327.22
$67.16
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
281 shares @ 29.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$116.70
$35.15
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
85 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$85.00
$44.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.