Jovial-Rainmaker
0xac26f794b6b7baa2823db9e68caedfef5a5406ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-962.26
Realised
$-3.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
12835 shares @ 22.8¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.3K
$344.87
- YES
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
3000 shares @ 11.9¢·now 10.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$301.50
$-55.50
- YES
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
1300 shares @ 15.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$214.50
$19.50
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1070 shares @ 7.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$14.45
$-66.89
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?
8900 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-965.99
- YES
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
830 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.60
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
800 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
195 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.60
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$14.96Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.0KJun 12, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$62.29Jun 12, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$0.23Jun 12, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.03Jun 12, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.02Jun 12, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$10.30Jun 12, 08:20 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.29Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$62.51Jun 11, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$27.17Jun 11, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$85.88Jun 11, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$9.50Jun 11, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$5.70Jun 11, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$28.46Jun 11, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$2.91Jun 11, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$28.50Jun 11, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$93.10Jun 11, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$5.51Jun 11, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$7.08Jun 11, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$9.63Jun 11, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $169.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 20:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.