Fragrant-Cord
0xac2a1f87d8328140182d4594ae9e4597cda71b4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$68.55
Total PnL
$-854.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
722 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$24.91
$1.91
- YES
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.13
$-2.87
- YES
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
139 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
7 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$4.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 4, 2027$4.43
$-0.57
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$4.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?
9 shares @ 57.1¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
93 shares @ 10.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$-7.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Philadelphia Eagles win the 2026 NFC East?$5.09May 14, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlanta Falcons win the 2026 NFC South?$5.12May 14, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?$3.41May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?$2.74May 14, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$3.81May 14, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?$10.54May 14, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies$12.20May 14, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals$10.00May 6, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies$5.09May 5, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs$3.05May 5, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals$5.08May 5, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAthletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies$4.08May 5, 12:09 UTC
- REDEEMChicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels$11.90May 5, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs$5.10May 4, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels$5.09May 4, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners$5.09May 4, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. Washington Nationals$5.09May 1, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$5.08May 1, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs$5.09May 1, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.08Apr 30, 23:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 11:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".