Ill-Hardhat
0xac310c9920913c00224feecc13c15e701beb42c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$107.63
Total PnL
$-10.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$99.46
$-0.54
- NO
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Ostium FDV above $4B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Probable FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.97
$-0.03
- NO
MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.91
$-0.09
- NO
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.79
$-0.21
- NO
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.78
$-0.22
- NO
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $6B?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.75
$-0.25
- NO
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.73
$-0.27
- NO
Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 97.4¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.69
$-0.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?$100.49Jun 11, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMNexus FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.02Jun 11, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$80.00Jun 11, 22:51 UTC
- REWARD$4.23May 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$74.40May 7, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?$0.99May 7, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLAbstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.03May 7, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.06May 7, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$1.10May 7, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMGensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?$1.25May 7, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$60.00May 7, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$58.26Apr 18, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 24?$1.00Apr 18, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on March 24?$1.01Apr 18, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMBased FDV above $800M one day after launch?$1.01Apr 18, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on March 24?$1.01Apr 18, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMPerle Labs FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.02Apr 18, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 24?$1.03Apr 18, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMBackpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.15Apr 18, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.30Apr 18, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $16.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 22:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.