Tiny-Audit
0xac382928a693c9c342c92fed3552e260aacfc565
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$354.94
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$150.73
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
2978 shares @ 12.3¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$282.87
$-82.43
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?
424 shares @ 18.9¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.18
$-42.09
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
90 shares @ 20.3¢·now 14.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.37
$-4.87
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?
119 shares @ 20.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.90
$-11.90
- YES
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
1316 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.29
$-127.78
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?
35 shares @ 28.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.94
$-7.06
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?
48 shares @ 11.4¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-4.49
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.89
$-0.08
- NO
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.57
$-0.44
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
3636 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-309.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$12.76Jul 22, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?$12.55Jul 22, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.06Jul 22, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$11.01Jun 12, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?$49.74May 30, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?$30.02May 30, 15:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$91.92May 30, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?$8.81May 15, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?$1.75May 14, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$3.50May 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$3.50May 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$3.50May 14, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$44.86May 14, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?$18.97May 14, 15:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?$10.56May 14, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$31.58May 14, 15:29 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.00May 11, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?$9.09May 9, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?$56.96May 9, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?$39.37May 9, 02:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $31.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 12:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.