Reasonable-Confusion
0xac4fa491c2992c69813d4319c350ded403456e50
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$1.00
Total PnL
$-0.00
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$5.29May 26, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$6.92May 26, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$26.74May 26, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$26.80May 26, 12:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $2.58May 26, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $0.38May 26, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $1.13May 26, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $1.01May 26, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $23.02May 26, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $22.92May 26, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$25.90May 25, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$25.90May 25, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$26.25May 24, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?$27.58May 24, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$27.60May 24, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$27.00May 23, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$27.52May 23, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$27.49May 23, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$19.06May 21, 22:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$8.23May 21, 22:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $28.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 22:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.