Jaded-Analysis
0xacc56d71b294a063b86c07124213b8c41c699436
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-433.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
932 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-130.54
- YES
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17?
379 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-58.61
- YES
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
363 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 10?
172 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 46-47°F on January 17?
105 shares @ 70.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-74.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 9?
90 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
76 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 7?
53 shares @ 97.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-52.03
- NO
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
41 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 9?
35 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 7?$52.08Apr 7, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on March 29?$52.07Apr 2, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on March 29?$51.92Mar 29, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on March 28?$51.92Mar 29, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on March 28?$51.38Mar 28, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$7.55Mar 11, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 4?$7.54Mar 5, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 4?$6.41Mar 3, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$6.42Mar 3, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$5.93Feb 11, 08:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$5.93Feb 11, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$130.54Feb 9, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 9?$1.00Feb 9, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on February 10?$1.00Feb 9, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 9?$5.00Feb 9, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -12°C or below on February 8?$65.79Feb 9, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 76°F or higher on February 8?$71.75Feb 9, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -12°C or below on February 8?$50.00Feb 7, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 76°F or higher on February 8?$50.00Feb 7, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or below on February 6?$100.00Feb 7, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $28.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 00:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 07:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".