Quick-Witted-Artichoke
0xacc67326fb48ae0d757a0afbf4f1c277ddab236d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$341.41
Total PnL
$-91.92
Realised
$0.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
1056 shares @ 38.8¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$332.78
$-77.22
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will Courtyard launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.05
$0.05
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 77.4¢·now 75.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.76
$-0.24
- NO
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.57
$-0.43
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.54
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.01Jul 28, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Courtyard launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.01Jul 27, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$1.34Jul 27, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?$1.04Jul 25, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$1.95Jul 25, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in August 2026?$1.05Jul 24, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$1.11Jul 24, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves$1.89Jul 23, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves$1.02Jul 23, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$1.01Jul 22, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$1.01Jul 21, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?$2.07Jul 21, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$1.02Jul 21, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$1.03Jul 13, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?$3.19Jul 11, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$409.81Jul 10, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$1.63Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$9.20Jul 9, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$1.01Jul 9, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?$2.20Jul 7, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $12.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 02:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.