General-Councilman
0xaceaf91ad4e59b4663fa0a9b3913fa82d4848b97
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$14.6K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$2.6K
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
8671 shares @ 74.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.9K
$396.92
- NO
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
1907 shares @ 57.8¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$1.1K
$-44.45
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4000 shares @ 25.2¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$932.00
$-76.08
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
800 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$794.00
$33.90
- YES
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
3098 shares @ 14.2¢·now 24.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$758.89
$317.54
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
8500 shares @ 32.2¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$552.50
$-2.2K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
500 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$495.75
$25.75
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
400 shares @ 85.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$345.99
$4.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 36.1¢·now 33.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$331.50
$-29.50
- YES
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
1343 shares @ 19.5¢·now 22.6¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$303.52
$41.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$210.00Jun 15, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$80.00Jun 15, 05:39 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.63Jun 15, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$5.46Jun 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$68.34Jun 14, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$13.76Jun 14, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$38.68Jun 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$6.99Jun 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$0.33Jun 14, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$82.10Jun 14, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$51.20Jun 14, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$140.00Jun 14, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$43.35Jun 14, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$27.65Jun 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$23.79Jun 14, 15:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$10.10Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$9.78Jun 13, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$6.11Jun 13, 20:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $107.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 05:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.