Everlasting-Simplicity
0xad3023edb7085fca74e16ecd437f4028d849c34f
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$20.11
Total PnL
$-15.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
18 shares @ 38.5¢·now 28.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.20
$-1.80
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
5 shares @ 58.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$4.16
$1.16
- YES
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?
3 shares @ 73.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
77 shares @ 9.1¢·now 2.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.04
$-4.96
- YES
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 92.8¢·now 84.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.88
$-0.12
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
2 shares @ 45.9¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEx-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?$1.00May 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$1.00May 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$2.01May 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00May 14, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?$3.70May 10, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.04May 7, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.04May 7, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$5.17May 7, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?$1.05May 5, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?$1.02May 5, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?$2.02May 5, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$2.01May 5, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 27?$1.00Apr 26, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?$1.00Apr 26, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00Apr 26, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.40Apr 26, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$1.00Apr 25, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$7.00Apr 24, 23:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 23:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".