Poised-Mole
0xad4741dd0825eb77a0cff95baed4f313e2dc1d5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$171.87
Total PnL
$174.59
Realised
$97.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
378 shares @ 2.5¢·now 23.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.69
$79.36
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
334 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.75
$1.67
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
26 shares @ 64.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.47
$2.52
- NO
Project Helix release by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 95.0¢·now 58.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.56
$-9.18
- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
10 shares @ 42.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.41
$3.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$49.14Jun 11, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$47.31Jun 11, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?$28.00Jun 8, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?$25.37Jun 6, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?$24.00Jun 2, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?$21.36May 28, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?$0.67May 23, 15:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?$0.07May 23, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?$4.88May 23, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Gachiakuta" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$7.00May 23, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?$10.14May 23, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$0.21May 21, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?$3.00May 20, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$0.14May 15, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$49.07May 15, 01:06 UTC
- REWARD$1.69May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.03May 14, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?$1.94May 14, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.00May 14, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$10.39May 13, 20:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $10.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 10:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 09:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.