Boiling-Alpenhorn
0xad8c4ec918a03e17dcd5aa1be726c53c3cd3b51c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$135.13
Total PnL
$-136.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?
135 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$135.13
$0.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
860 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 2?
766 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28?
740 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 25?
730 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 February 23-March 1?
705 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 25?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will Solana dip to $50 in February?
685 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?
679 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 23?
678 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?$135.01Jul 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 3.5$4.80Jul 18, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 Week of June 1 2026?$140.16Jul 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 Week of June 1 2026?$139.67Jun 5, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cho Gil-hyeong win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$10.11Jun 5, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$11.33Jun 5, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$83.08Jun 5, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$4.16Jun 1, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic$11.83Jun 1, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.82Jun 1, 10:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C or higher on May 31?$14.66Jun 1, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?$83.00May 31, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic$7.53May 31, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$90.52May 31, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$90.18May 30, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$89.89May 30, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$90.02May 30, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cho Gil-hyeong win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?$10.10May 30, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C or higher on May 31?$14.65May 30, 06:53 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame$7.04May 30, 06:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $84.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 07:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 06:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.