Jumbo-Chateau
0xada74769634272487f46e29be263286646e41e70
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$53.17
Total PnL
$0.26
Realised
$0.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6 shares @ 85.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
7 shares @ 46.1¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.17
$2.17
- NO
Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
5 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
4 shares @ 77.5¢·now 93.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.61
$0.61
- NO
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?
4 shares @ 93.9¢·now 79.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$3.36
$-0.64
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?
3 shares @ 86.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.35
$0.35
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$3.31
$0.30
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
3 shares @ 64.1¢·now 90.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$2.78Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$2.02Jun 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$2.02Jun 13, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$2.00Jun 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 13, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-1.5)$1.01Jun 11, 05:36 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$7.69Jun 11, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$1.03Jun 11, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.02Jun 11, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jun 10, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$1.00Jun 10, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$4.01Jun 10, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.02Jun 10, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 8-14?$1.05Jun 9, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?$1.01Jun 9, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 8-14?$1.03Jun 9, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLSpurs vs. Knicks$1.05Jun 9, 04:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Spurs (-3.5)$2.63Jun 9, 03:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 06:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.