International-Footstep
0xadaf1c42e0a88e2942e7adfe559e30c1796bf9f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-616.53
Realised
$1.27
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
796 shares @ 94.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$765.33
$14.80
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
571 shares @ 54.7¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$362.56
$50.02
- NO
Romanian parliament dissolved by August 31?
122 shares @ 94.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$108.29
$-7.08
- NO
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?
93 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$91.29
$12.03
- YES
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2824 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.43
$6.03
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
20 shares @ 28.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$8.30
$2.70
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?
25 shares @ 33.7¢·now 22.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.63
$-2.79
- NO
Romanian parliament dissolved by December 31?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1210 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.02
$-40.19
- YES
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
322 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.29
$-2.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRomanian parliament dissolved by August 31?$115.61Aug 3, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + AUR?$0.04Aug 2, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMRomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$2.3KAug 1, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?$0.00Jul 30, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?$8.64Jul 30, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?$0.08Jul 24, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?$16.19Jul 21, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRomanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?$34.29Jul 21, 03:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.75Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRomanian PM Bolojan out by July 31?$500.00Jul 20, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.30Jul 19, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR?$0.15Jul 19, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.63Jul 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$477.00Jul 17, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 17, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$381.34Jul 16, 11:45 UTC
- REWARD$2.42Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 15, 13:11 UTC
- REWARD$1.17Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$99.17Jul 14, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $67.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 15:30 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 3, 05:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.