International-Footstep
0xadaf1c42e0a88e2942e7adfe559e30c1796bf9f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$983.65
Realised
$790.56
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
3102 shares @ 92.3¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$102.30
- NO
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?
571 shares @ 54.7¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$385.40
$72.86
- YES
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
2049 shares @ 8.4¢·now 16.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$341.17
$169.17
- NO
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
191 shares @ 91.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$183.83
$9.47
- NO
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include UDMR?
150 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$142.57
$15.07
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1500 shares @ 5.7¢·now 5.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$86.25
$0.75
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 4.5¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$56.50
$11.50
- YES
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1210 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.24
$-38.98
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?
87 shares @ 6.7¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.05
$-4.78
- YES
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
4504 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-136.91
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$42.82Jun 20, 21:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?$25.93Jun 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$31.85Jun 20, 20:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$24.06Jun 19, 07:40 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.06Jun 19, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.12Jun 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$153.56Jun 18, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$11.24Jun 18, 19:22 UTC
- MERGERomanian parliament dissolved by July 31?$15.00Jun 18, 10:20 UTC
- MERGEWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$1.0KJun 18, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$427.50Jun 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$428.00Jun 18, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$249.60Jun 18, 08:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.24Jun 18, 04:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$190.50Jun 17, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$174.35Jun 17, 18:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$7.53Jun 17, 13:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $98.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 21:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.