Optimistic-Men
0xadb4e00b535ae36532764ddfcdbafe48a23f3214
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$126.30
Total PnL
$-56.8K
Realised
$-11.3K
Win rate
31%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
26 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.61
$0.61
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
21 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$20.88
$0.88
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
16 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$16.13
$1.13
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
15 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$15.16
$0.16
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
14 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$14.12
$2.12
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.93
$0.93
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.20
$3.20
- NO
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
5 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.25
$0.25
- YES
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
4 shares @ 77.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.87
$0.87
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.62
$0.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.05May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$12.07May 18, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$15.04May 18, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$25.03May 18, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$20.00May 18, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$5.75May 18, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.75May 18, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$10.08May 18, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$50.61May 18, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.01May 18, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.02May 18, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$2.90May 18, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$5.03May 18, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Apr 23, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?$5.00Apr 23, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 23, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?$50.00Apr 23, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.00Apr 23, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.00Apr 23, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.00Apr 23, 04:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $8.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 15:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.