Verifiable-Scanner
0xae02caf343832b15ae6963773131815eb1d06d55
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-294.82
Realised
$-18.95
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?
4487 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-109.88
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?
3000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?
1509 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-28.67
- YES
Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
529 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.39
- YES
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
400 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?
220 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-23.60
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
200 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
200 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
131 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?$3.67Jul 7, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$2.12Jul 7, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.58Jul 7, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$41.70Jun 22, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$0.80Jun 19, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$0.98Jun 19, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$0.51Jun 19, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.06May 28, 21:29 UTC
- REWARD$1.21May 28, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.36May 27, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$1.05May 26, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$0.79May 25, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?$0.06May 25, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?$0.04May 25, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?$15.49May 24, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$18.62May 24, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$0.03May 24, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.86May 24, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$0.86May 24, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$0.41May 24, 21:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 17:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.