Jittery-Destiny
0xae06246b1924709c709a109aef99168ec7e762ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-545.00
Realised
$-230.01
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 2?
283 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 9?
282 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 12?
281 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.92
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 2?
280 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 11?
276 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 8?
276 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 14?
272 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 9?
272 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 9?
272 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.20 on January 11?
272 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.71
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$110.95Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$0.28Jul 15, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 15?$109.01Jul 15, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 3?$3.06Jul 2, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 28?$3.03Jun 27, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 4?$131.96Jun 4, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 4?$0.72Jun 4, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 4?$46.83Jun 4, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 4?$22.60Jun 4, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on June 4?$58.38Jun 4, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 30?$2.30May 30, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$116.91May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?$114.92May 26, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$106.65May 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$105.05May 19, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 9?$122.05May 9, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on May 9?$118.63May 8, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 15?$118.63May 1, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 13 2026?$2.69Apr 17, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 15?$115.90Apr 15, 14:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $34.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.