Excellent-Canvas
0xae18d6a467c5af2c871d6f47745a429c9e521132
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-450.79
Win rate
36%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
472 shares @ 64.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$472.00
$165.67
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
362 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$362.00
$0.36
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?
117 shares @ 81.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$117.00
$21.29
- NO
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
48 shares @ 84.5¢·now 80.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$38.50
$-2.06
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?
20 shares @ 30.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$13.94
- YES
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
73 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.34
$-0.36
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
52 shares @ 27.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.26
$-0.78
- YES
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
11 shares @ 28.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$11.00
$7.92
- YES
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.70
$-5.50
- NO
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.00
$1.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$250.04Apr 27, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$413.58Apr 23, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$356.24Apr 21, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$1.86Apr 13, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$58.18Apr 12, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$602.83Apr 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$32.16Apr 11, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$98.88Apr 11, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?$11.34Apr 11, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?$8.37Apr 11, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?$732.62Apr 11, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$443.54Apr 11, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$141.96Apr 10, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$395.28Apr 10, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$205.02Apr 10, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$238.52Apr 10, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$260.61Apr 9, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$136.90Apr 9, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$100.80Apr 9, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$96.32Apr 9, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $278.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.