Closed-Salesman-Activation
0xae524370bdbdf200bed94e7f90fa6dc1013afcd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.94
Total PnL
$-23.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
81 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by July 31?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
29 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$0.00Jun 30, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Jun 30, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Jun 30, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 23?$0.00Jun 30, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.00Jun 30, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?$0.00Jun 30, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.03Jun 28, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$10.00Jun 28, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?$1.04Jun 28, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.30Jun 28, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.02Jun 28, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.04Jun 28, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$7.85Jun 28, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.13Jun 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGonçalo Ramos: 1+ shots on target AND Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$3.99Jun 28, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by July 31?$1.00Jun 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$1.00Jun 28, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00Jun 28, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$0.48Jun 26, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?$0.88Jun 26, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $2.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.