Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?
Probability
38¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$588.19
Probability (last 7 days)
+30.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 38¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4595h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 51.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4595.4h
- 12:37SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4595h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 39¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the next team Giannis Antetokounmpo officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Giannis Antetokounmpo does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Milwaukee Bucks”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Giannis Antetokounmpo retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Milwaukee Bucks and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Nov 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (51.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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