Oval-Bangle
0xae91837be6286b658c5faf838a7284017175476d
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$-585.31
Realised
$4.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1102 shares @ 46.5¢·now 53.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$589.57
$76.89
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1799 shares @ 27.5¢·now 17.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$313.74
$-181.86
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
230 shares @ 58.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$139.15
$5.85
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
920 shares @ 11.0¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$131.01
$30.14
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
620 shares @ 28.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.30
$-72.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1080 shares @ 10.2¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$91.80
$-18.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
100 shares @ 53.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$60.50
$7.50
- YES
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$42.25
$22.25
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
60 shares @ 37.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.90
$-0.30
- NO
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
35 shares @ 61.7¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.17
$-0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$12.42Jun 2, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.97Jun 2, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$7.38Jun 2, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGraham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?$0.20Jun 2, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGraham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?$0.20Jun 2, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYGraham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?$0.07Jun 2, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGraham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?$5.00Jun 2, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYGraham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?$4.97Jun 2, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$22.76Jun 2, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGraham Platner drops out before Maine Senate Dem primary?$1.58Jun 2, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$61.00May 29, 14:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$31.12May 27, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$5.64May 27, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$5.00May 27, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $14.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 13:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 23:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".