Unfinished-Belt
0xae91ec7354e12acb90922e9b7abdf6fc471f0f69
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
86
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$400.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
269 shares @ 17.2¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$189.70
$143.29
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
190 shares @ 73.6¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$169.38
$29.38
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
180 shares @ 83.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$162.98
$12.98
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
139 shares @ 67.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$137.85
$44.44
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
125 shares @ 82.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$123.04
$19.44
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
144 shares @ 86.5¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$113.41
$-11.59
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
93 shares @ 73.2¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$89.95
$21.97
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
95 shares @ 84.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.19
$6.19
- NO
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.49
$0.50
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
87 shares @ 91.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$82.57
$2.32
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.16Jun 13, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$5.02Jun 13, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$15.05Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$20.00Jun 13, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.00Jun 13, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$20.00Jun 13, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$25.00Jun 13, 06:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$2.03Jun 12, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$10.30Jun 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.04Jun 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$20.10Jun 12, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$6.20Jun 12, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?$20.13Jun 12, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Sweet Magnolias: Season 5" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$1.05Jun 12, 07:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$1.43Jun 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?$20.04Jun 11, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$15.09Jun 11, 23:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $14.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.