Sardonic-Reindeer
0xaeadacf9d662310a427262d0d22490179c4012e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$74.47
Total PnL
$16.57
Realised
$0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
67 shares @ 40.9¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.82
$15.26
- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
6 shares @ 87.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.62
$0.34
- HASHIRAS
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Hashiras (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
11 shares @ 37.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$5.30
$1.38
- EC BANGA
Counter-Strike: EC BANGA vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner
9 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$4.32
$0.00
- REIGN ABOVE
Counter-Strike: Reign Above vs Marsborne (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs
8 shares @ 46.7¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$4.21
$0.28
- HASHIRAS
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winner
7 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$3.72
$-0.22
- HASHIRAS
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winner
7 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$3.72
$-0.22
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
3 shares @ 90.4¢·now 91.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.81
$0.04
- YAWARA ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winner
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.72
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$17.68Jun 13, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$4.05Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$5.78Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$10.30Jun 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2.95Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$16.94Jun 12, 11:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2.66Jun 12, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$0.00Jun 12, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$30.30Jun 11, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$9.64Jun 7, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$13.97Jun 7, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$12.17Jun 4, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$23.39Jun 4, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$7.26Jun 4, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$25.25Jun 3, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$1.14Jun 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$0.03Jun 3, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$1.88Jun 3, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$0.30Jun 3, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$0.07Jun 3, 10:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 10:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.