Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs RED Canids - Map 1 Winner
Probability
43¢
1h
+3.0pp
24h
+8.0pp
24h Vol
$1.5K
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 8pp over 24h
Now 43¢; +3.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 28h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 28h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 28 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 27.9h
- 21:04SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 28h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+12.5pp over the last 24h, now 43¢.
Biggest hourly move: +20.0pp at 17:00 (to 45¢).
Show all 8 hour-by-hour ticks
- 21:00 · +15.5pp → 43¢
- 20:00 · +11.5pp → 40¢
- 19:00 · +10.0pp → 38¢
- 17:00 · +20.0pp → 45¢
- 15:00 · +17.5pp → 45¢
- 14:00 · +11.5pp → 45¢
- 12:00 · +9.5pp → 44¢
- 10:00 · +5.5pp → 43¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Yawara Esports and RED Canids in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yawara Esports" if Yawara Esports win Map 1 against RED Canids. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win Map 1 against Yawara Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.