Scrawny-Personal
0xaec36246664055d7045398e3d08e214317ebce99
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$52.01
Total PnL
$-2.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Waymo IPO before 2027?
7 shares @ 89.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.38
$0.38
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.38
$0.38
- NO
Will John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
6 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$6.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
6 shares @ 97.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$5.80
$-0.21
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.14
$0.14
- NO
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.06
$0.17
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
4 shares @ 96.6¢·now 97.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.24
$0.04
- NO
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
3 shares @ 95.4¢·now 96.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$3.12
$0.02
- NO
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$2.57
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.37Jun 2, 13:28 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$4.89Jun 2, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$4.51May 15, 00:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.34May 13, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3.06May 13, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.55May 13, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 13, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWaymo IPO before 2027?$6.00Apr 22, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.00Apr 19, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 17?$4.05Apr 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?$4.89Apr 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 17?$4.00Apr 17, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.00Apr 15, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.20Apr 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$3.75Apr 10, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$6.00Apr 7, 13:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?$2.71Apr 6, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.30Apr 6, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?$0.71Apr 5, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$3.70Apr 5, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $413.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 13:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.