Messy-Molar
0xaed29198b46d25a5b2b3b2556bd1cb39c6138e93
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
119
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-7.0K
Realised
$961.32
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 119- YES
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
2688 shares @ 38.5¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$954.19
$-80.81
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
691 shares @ 68.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$445.82
$-29.18
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1695 shares @ 23.7¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$364.50
$-36.65
- YES
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2386 shares @ 7.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$131.25
$-46.52
- YES
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$85.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27 shares @ 73.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.59
$-0.41
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
12 shares @ 86.4¢·now 75.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$8.72
$-1.27
- NO
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
14003 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?
11000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-55.99
- YES
Iran Nuke in 2025?
10051 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-755.75
Recent activity
- REWARD$4.24May 18, 10:53 UTC
- REWARD$0.95May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$9.62May 18, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.18May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.17May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $1B one day after launch?$82.83May 16, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$102.17May 16, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.16May 16, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$102.68May 16, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$10.05May 15, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$6.02May 15, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$813.31May 15, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.31May 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.06May 15, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$11.36May 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.16May 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.20May 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $2B one day after launch?$10.78May 15, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$167.22May 9, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$90.00May 7, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $68.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 9, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".