0xaed4a06aa7b2d9d7b94f89d693459153e37709af
0xaed4a06aa7b2d9d7b94f89d693459153e37709af
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$69.93
Total PnL
$43.01
Realised
$162.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
492 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 4, 2026$9.10
$-1.44
- YES
Will FalleN win a S-Tier event before June 30?
90 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.85
$0.45
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.53
$0.51
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
89 shares @ 5.6¢·now 6.0¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$5.37
$0.40
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
180 shares @ 2.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.51
$-1.35
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.13
$-1.88
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.92
$-2.08
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
43 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.81
$-2.38
- YES
SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?
126 shares @ 7.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.70
$-7.15
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
33 shares @ 9.1¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.61
$-0.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$170.11Jun 9, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 8, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$0.00Jun 8, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill LGD Gaming win BLAST Slam VII?$0.00Jun 8, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 8, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$0.00Jun 8, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda$0.00Jun 8, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$0.00Jun 8, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?$0.00Jun 8, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$0.00Jun 8, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 8, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?$0.00Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 30?$0.00Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0.00Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$94.56Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.00Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$0.00Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$0.00Jun 8, 01:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $170.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.