Yummy-Response
0xaeee0e39d5942c8ca98aa1fc2898194da13ff065
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$583.33
Realised
$878.58
Win rate
96%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
2456 shares @ 88.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.2K
$12.84
- NO
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1625 shares @ 76.8¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.1K
$-127.75
- NO
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
754 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$694.73
$1.51
- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
869 shares @ 70.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$643.38
$34.78
- NO
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
500 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$462.50
$2.50
- NO
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
449 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$394.27
$8.52
- NO
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
262 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$247.94
$4.32
- NO
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$55.50
$34.50
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$1.07Jul 28, 23:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$2.00Jul 28, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$2.12Jul 28, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?$100.49Jul 28, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$21.60Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$21.10Jul 28, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?$100.04Jul 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 28?$1.07Jul 28, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10AM ET$3.73Jul 28, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10AM ET$6.03Jul 28, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.11Jul 28, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.07Jul 28, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.90Jul 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.10Jul 28, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$2.00Jul 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$3.00Jul 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$3.35Jul 27, 22:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.70Jul 27, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$2.11Jul 27, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$3.56Jul 27, 22:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
96% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 23:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 23:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.