Outrageous-Belief
0xaef7d67ef5e59af928db8a11e229722002280e53
Quality score
60/100
Open positions
11
Open notional
$7.93
Total PnL
$-175.24
Realised
$-3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day?
42 shares @ 18.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$2.94
$-4.62
- YES
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in April?
231 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.08
$-8.56
- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?
43 shares @ 15.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 1, 2026$1.52
$-4.99
- YES
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April 2026?
82 shares @ 11.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.39
$-7.63
- YES
Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
200 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-53.80
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Celtics
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
45 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-21.60
- YES
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 15%+?
30 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- HEAT
Heat vs. Pacers
30 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-21.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
30 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-15.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$15.8913d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?$6.9014d ago
- REWARD$33.5415d ago
- REWARD$0.2615d ago
- TRADESELLWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$42.0015d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$6.8915d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$13.5015d ago
- TRADESELLWill Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?$6.3015d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$2.4515d ago
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?$7.0315d ago
- TRADESELLWill Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$18.9115d ago
- TRADESELLWill TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$11.7615d ago
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$11.7615d ago
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?$12.0015d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$18.9115d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 15%+?$6.6016d ago
- TRADESELLWill Marquita Bradshaw be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?$17.5316d ago
- REWARD$0.3816d ago
- REWARD$33.4616d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$2.4016d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $12.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 17d ago
- Last active
- 13d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.