Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April 2026?
Probability
2¢
1h
-0.9pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$114.20
Liquidity
$12.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-3.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 2¢; -0.9pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 104h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $12.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 104.1h
- 15:51SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 104h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:51PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 2¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 3¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 2¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 3¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 3¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 3¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 1¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.6pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 2¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between April 1, and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).