Immediate-Commonsense

• NO

  Will any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?

  40 shares @ 6.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026

  $17.00

  $14.60

• NO

  Will the Republican Party win the TX-25 House seat?

  100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026

  $12.50

  $-3.50

• YES

  Will the Democratic Party win the TX-25 House seat?

  90 shares @ 15.3¢·now 11.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026

  $9.90

  $-3.90

• NO

  Will the Democratic Party win the VA-03 House seat?

  100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026

  $6.50

  $-3.50

• NO

  Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-06 House seat?

  30 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026

  $1.80

  $-0.90

• YES

  Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

  50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026

  $0.52

  $-0.97

• NO

  Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31?

  2174 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026

  $0.00

  $-22.91

• YES

  Will Grok 4.20 be released before February 1, 2026?

  400 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026

  $0.00

  $-2.60

• YES

  Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?

  200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026

  $0.00

  $-1.00

• NO

  Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?

  180 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026

  $0.00

  $-2.78

• TRADEBUYWill South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?$1.00Apr 19, 13:06 UTC
• TRADESELLWill South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?$14.22Apr 6, 11:12 UTC
• TRADESELLWill any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?$22.80Apr 1, 06:39 UTC
• REDEEMWill Israel or the US target Tehran?$30.00Mar 28, 10:12 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI GPT score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$2.28Mar 23, 21:14 UTC
• TRADESELLWill South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?$0.92Mar 10, 21:56 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$3.96Mar 10, 21:09 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?$1.50Mar 10, 10:24 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?$0.96Mar 10, 10:24 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.59Mar 10, 08:00 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.11Mar 10, 03:18 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?$0.32Mar 5, 18:49 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the NJ-06 House seat?$1.71Mar 4, 13:09 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$8.58Feb 28, 06:17 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$0.33Feb 22, 10:21 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill any xAI Grok model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?$2.40Feb 17, 18:21 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in February?$0.30Feb 17, 04:34 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?$0.19Feb 16, 00:01 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in February?$0.70Feb 15, 14:13 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be at least 1.6%?$1.80Feb 15, 11:43 UTC

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.