Fantastic-Carboxyl
0xaf2830f2dd4dfa32e3dffac60531bb4ba5147f92
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$37.1K
Total PnL
$-80.1K
Realised
$681.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
21411 shares @ 32.1¢·now 53.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.5K
$4.6K
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
99835 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$7.5K
$499.18
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
27918 shares @ 25.4¢·now 26.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$7.4K
$319.08
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
18515 shares @ 20.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.2K
$465.59
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
17124 shares @ 13.9¢·now 24.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.1K
$1.8K
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
400099 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.2K
$-1.4K
- NO
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
800 shares @ 45.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Nov 13, 2026$164.00
$-203.00
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
10022 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$60.13
$-30.06
- YES
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
129939 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2025$0.00
$-53.2K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
23151 shares @ 78.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$490.94Jun 12, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.8KJun 12, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$232.70Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.76Jun 12, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$8.00Jun 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$57.60Jun 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$139.68Jun 12, 03:06 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$18.19Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.18Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$9.57Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$306.92Jun 11, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$20.60Jun 11, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.3KJun 11, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$6.25Jun 11, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$37.65Jun 11, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.13Jun 11, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.03Jun 11, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.02Jun 11, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$0.06Jun 11, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.60Jun 11, 22:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $178.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 22:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 23:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.