Ragged-Gaffe
0xaf3909f0123a907b22d7add2cd1a59a072013101
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$28.4K
Total PnL
$3.2K
Realised
$3.4K
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
12836 shares @ 80.7¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.5K
$1.2K
- NO
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?
5000 shares @ 69.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.4K
$-50.23
- NO
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
2193 shares @ 76.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.1K
$479.59
- YES
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$2.0K
$37.50
- YES
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 73.6¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.8K
$-53.49
- NO
Another Elon baby by June 30?
1928 shares @ 86.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$114.14
- NO
Will Panama reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1199 shares @ 94.4¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$1.1K
$-17.01
- YES
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 80.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$789.83
$-10.00
- NO
Will New Zealand reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
681 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$633.32
$0.21
- YES
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1020 shares @ 70.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$627.30
$-86.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$384.99Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.17Jun 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.25Jun 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$61.60Jun 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.10Jun 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.17Jun 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.42Jun 13, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$171.27Jun 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.25Jun 13, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.25Jun 13, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.25Jun 13, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.25Jun 13, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$426.91Jun 13, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.98Jun 13, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.98Jun 13, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.98Jun 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.98Jun 13, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.98Jun 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$52.77Jun 13, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$4.98Jun 13, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $32.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 07:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.