Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Probability
9¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$24.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1575.1h
- 08:56SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1575h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 9¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 9¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 9¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 9¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 9¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 9¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 9¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 9¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 9¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 9¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 9¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 9¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 9¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, North and South Korea engage in direct talks, defined as an official meeting or communication between government representatives of both sides, conducted without a third-party relaying messages, by June 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The talks may be in-person, by phone, or virtual, and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by credible media. Routine military deconfliction, backchannel exchanges, or talks conducted entirely through another country or organization will not count. The resolutions source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).