Fixed-Kingdom
0xafba16617d5e4dbd56595bb2b47d513ee31a6f83
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$288.34
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$20.53
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
100 shares @ 79.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$100.38
$20.38
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
64 shares @ 77.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$62.93
$12.93
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
98 shares @ 23.5¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$60.05
$37.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
68 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$54.79
$4.79
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$6.80
$-13.20
- YES
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
98 shares @ 48.8¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.46
$-45.54
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
100 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.75
$-18.25
- YES
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.13
$-0.87
- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
99 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.05
$-28.95
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?
1967 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-542.80
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$0.00May 2, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$100.00May 2, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$25.00Apr 5, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$39.00Apr 5, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$12.00Apr 5, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$80.00Apr 5, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$19.00Apr 5, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$23.00Apr 5, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$29.00Apr 5, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$1.00Apr 5, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Benoît Payan win the Marseille mayor election?$99.91Apr 5, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franck Allisio win the Marseille mayor election?$0.00Apr 5, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$400.33Apr 5, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$50.00Mar 12, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$100.00Mar 12, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$300.00Mar 12, 07:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $53.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".