Wallet digest

active

Activity score

70/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-408.64

Realised

$48.18

Win rate

100%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 19

NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on April 21?
15341 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-15.34
YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
14057 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$0.00
$-71.41
NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
2723 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026
$0.00
$-8.50
NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
830 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-2.49
NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
623 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026
$0.00
$-2.49
UP
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
451 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026
$0.00
$-138.78
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
426 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-15.31
YES
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?
367 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026
$0.00
$-16.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
225 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026
$0.00
$-11.59
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
173 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026
$0.00
$-74.51

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$77.48May 16, 02:54 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$77.65May 16, 02:51 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$67.29May 16, 02:50 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00May 16, 02:47 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$67.58May 16, 02:47 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$69.40May 16, 02:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$9.34May 16, 02:44 UTC
TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$78.65May 16, 02:43 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$44.97May 16, 02:38 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$40.65May 16, 02:19 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00May 16, 02:18 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.27May 16, 02:17 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$17.55May 16, 02:17 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$10.97May 16, 02:17 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$15.72May 16, 02:17 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$15.72May 16, 02:17 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$2.81May 16, 02:17 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$8.44May 16, 02:17 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$13.53May 16, 02:17 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$13.81May 16, 02:17 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry26 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk52 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 43
Avg trade size: $29.14
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 28, 16:32 UTC
Last active: May 16, 02:54 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

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updated 13:38:45 UTC·src:Polymarket Data