Near-Tshirt
0xb01ebe6393e5afcef6ae457a1dd749f519a89221
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
106
Open notional
$27.71
Total PnL
$-84.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$3.74
$2.74
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
3 shares @ 63.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.80
$0.80
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1 shares @ 82.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$2.50Jul 21, 21:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.50Jul 20, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Team to Win$2.78Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$1.00Jul 17, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.05Jul 17, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?$1.00Jul 17, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00Jul 17, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.03Jul 17, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.12Jul 17, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$1.03Jul 17, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.03Jul 17, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2.44Jul 15, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$3.23Jul 14, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$4.00Jul 13, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.02Jul 9, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$1.02Jul 9, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?$1.00Jul 9, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$1.00Jul 9, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$1.00Jul 9, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.08Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 08:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 21:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.