Impassioned-Adviser
0xb0260e98a791d50768088d5b61fa13f9eb1f014a
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-221.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
290 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-36.88
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Roma win the UEFA Europa League?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
36 shares @ 27.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?
32 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.88
- YES
Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
18 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-03?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ROCKETS
Rockets vs. 76ers
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Arsenal wins the Premier League?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.38Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$1.03Jul 15, 14:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$3.70Jul 12, 04:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$3.81Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$3.36Jul 10, 21:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$3.31Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.02Jul 9, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$1.02Jul 9, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$2.02Jul 9, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09?$2.02Jul 9, 18:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.