Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Probability
36¢
1h
+6.5pp
24h
+13.0pp
24h Vol
$583.78
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+20.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 13pp over 24h
Now 36¢; +6.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 752h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 9.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 752.1h
- 15:55SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 752h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 30¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 23¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 23¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 23¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 23¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 22¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 22¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 21¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 23¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will finish in 3rd place in the 2025–26 English Premier League. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 3rd in the final standings of the 2025–26 English Premier League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 3rd in the 2025-26 EPL season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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