Mild-Lecture
0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$-4.0K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
4787 shares @ 58.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.1K
$1.3K
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
780 shares @ 79.5¢·now 98.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$770.15
$150.14
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
221 shares @ 82.7¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$202.77
$20.03
- NO
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?
162 shares @ 92.6¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$155.47
$5.71
- NO
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
152 shares @ 53.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.75
$6.07
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
61625 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-167.19
- YES
Will Trump say "Fat" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
1456 shares @ 80.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
1023 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-450.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
121 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-45.77
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
82 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-38.73
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.7010h ago
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.599d ago
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.4810d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?$9.4818d ago
- REDEEMBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?$801.0218d ago
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.7319d ago
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$14.0522d ago
- REWARD$4.2723d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?$30.7925d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?$189.0725d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?$657.0425d ago
- REDEEMWill Ceará SC win on 2026-04-01?$63.5025d ago
- REDEEMWill Cuiabá EC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?$276.8425d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?$1.2K25d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?$468.3125d ago
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition$7.4626d ago
- REDEEMWill the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 6500 on the final trading day of Q1 2026?$6.2226d ago
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$6.7526d ago
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March?$35.0026d ago
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$129.5226d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $925.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 27d ago
- Last active
- 10h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.