Mild-Lecture
0xb03b826a4fc9893b35d3ddf4f11be824525b6ca1
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$-4.0K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
61625 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-167.19
- NO
FDA approves Vepdegestrant?
13137 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-44.05
- NO
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?
2790 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-12.37
- YES
Will Trump say "Fat" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?
1456 shares @ 80.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
1023 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-450.12
- NO
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
405 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
121 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-45.77
- YES
Will Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
82 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-38.73
- NO
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?
55 shares @ 76.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-42.40
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.91Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Vepdegestrant?$36.97Jun 5, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Vepdegestrant?$8.84Jun 5, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7.63Jun 2, 17:20 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.75Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$13.45Jun 1, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$401.13Jun 1, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.17Jun 1, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$54.70Jun 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$120.75Jun 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$24.61Jun 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.21Jun 1, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$217.55Jun 1, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$403.22Jun 1, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$21.38May 31, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$28.57May 31, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$2.42May 31, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$245.06May 31, 17:12 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.68May 23, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Candace Owens or Hunter Biden say "Cash" on Thursday?$1.04May 21, 23:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $51.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 03:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.