UnclassifiedExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?

Probability

28¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-5.5pp

24h Vol

$2.2K

Liquidity

$2.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

-43.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 10:00Apr 27, 2026, 08:58
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 28¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 63h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $2.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 4

    Expiry in 63h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 63 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 63.0h

    HIGH
  • 08:58Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 63h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-5.5pp over the last 24h, now 28¢.

Biggest hourly move: -30.5pp at 2d ago (to 33¢).

Show top 8 of 58 hourly moves
  • 05:00 · -29.0pp → 28¢
  • 03:00 · -29.0pp → 28¢
  • 02:00 · -28.5pp → 28¢
  • 21:00 · -26.0pp → 31¢
  • 09:00 · -26.5pp → 33¢
  • 2d ago · -30.0pp → 33¢
  • 2d ago · -30.5pp → 33¢
  • 2d ago · -29.0pp → 33¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” If Bryan Johnson publicly announces that he has had sex between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Bryan Johnson, including through his official X account (https://x.com/bryan_johnson).

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
x.com
Link
x.com
Type
Source not classified
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket