Capital-Placement
0xb0480a9ed3098167aa7e637edf85f3cf6b6b4b64
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$18.87
Total PnL
$2.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$6.44
$1.44
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.40
$1.40
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?
11 shares @ 44.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2026$6.02
$1.02
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?$5.14Jun 25, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$5.31Jun 25, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$5.00Jun 24, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?$5.20Jun 22, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$5.00Jun 15, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$6.85Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$5.00May 6, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$6.49May 6, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$7.46May 6, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the March Meeting?$1.00Mar 20, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$0.17Mar 17, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 6, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Mar 6, 13:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?$9.86Mar 6, 13:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$1.02Mar 6, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$1.19Feb 24, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?$9.80Feb 23, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $4.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 14:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 01:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.