Honored-Chino
0xb0f5d5964e90f9ccc35fe87579d2899a947f66a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$196.33
Total PnL
$-262.81
Realised
$11.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
878 shares @ 19.3¢·now 19.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2026$166.79
$-2.94
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$29.55
$-20.45
- YES
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1102 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1004 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.48
- YES
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
676 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
390 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
364 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- ARGENTINA
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
241 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$102.92Jul 19, 18:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Team to Win$102.80Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$56.28Jul 18, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$96.12Jul 18, 22:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $27.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.