Opulent-Right
0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$446.7K
Total PnL
$7.8K
Realised
$3.7K
Win rate
81%
43 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$87.5K
$37.5K
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
23630 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$23.6K
$67.56
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
22351 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$22.3K
$118.82
- NO
Iran leadership change by July 31?
21540 shares @ 95.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.4K
$885.83
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
22661 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$20.5K
$3.78
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
24010 shares @ 79.2¢·now 79.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$19.1K
$139.69
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?
15368 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$15.4K
$32.92
- NO
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
13976 shares @ 95.3¢·now 96.2¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$13.4K
$125.53
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
13813 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$13.1K
$475.54
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 12.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.4K
$-37.5K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$100.00Jul 28, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$2.22Jul 28, 16:30 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$200.00Jul 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$14.55Jul 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by September 30?$46.00Jul 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$6.66Jul 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$73.28Jul 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$0.15Jul 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$17.19Jul 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$5.46Jul 28, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$474.32Jul 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting?$8.10Jul 28, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIran full airspace closure by July 31?$175.01Jul 28, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$19.77Jul 28, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by September 30?$1.9KJul 28, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by September 30?$368.00Jul 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gay" or "Homosexual" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$0.22Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by September 30?$334.58Jul 28, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohamed Salah play in MLS next?$11.35Jul 28, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?$19.00Jul 28, 16:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$140.1K
Trades
3
Buy share
69%
Window
May 29, 00:01 UTC → Jul 15, 16:14 UTC
- BUYIran leadership change by June 30?$6.5K@96¢Jun 5, 06:14 UTC
- BUYIran leadership change by June 30?$6.1K@96¢Jun 4, 12:58 UTC
- SELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$5.6K@99¢May 28, 23:58 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
73/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
81% win rate over 43 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 9 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
43 closed markets, 81% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
69%
Sample
limited
9 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
$59.9K · 43% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $294.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 13:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 16:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 43 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.