Careful-Orchard
0xb10d4487c37bd6c4c1d86523bfc4b18f518ac12b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$14.41
Total PnL
$-39.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
9 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.78
$-0.22
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.53
$1.53
- NO
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
2 shares @ 88.2¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- UNDER 2.5
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Diana Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
13 shares @ 82.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?$1.00Jun 2, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAryna Sabalenka vs. Diana Shnaider: Total Sets O/U 2.5$1.01Jun 2, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.30Jun 2, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$1.11Jun 1, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$1.11Jun 1, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.09Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.09Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.05Jun 1, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.05Jun 1, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$1.08Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$1.08Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$1.54Jun 1, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$1.54Jun 1, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.06Jun 1, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.06Jun 1, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann$1.12May 31, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann$1.12May 31, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.67May 31, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$7.67May 31, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 07:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 10:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".